As the eyes of the world focus on the recent uprising in Egypt, the government of the United States is faced with a foreign policy conundrum. Foreign policy consists of self-interest strategies by the government to safeguard national interests. As it stands, the U.S. must try to abandon Egyptian President Mubarak — an important U.S. strategic ally of 30 years in the region — to support a pro-democracy movement by the Egyptian people. However, the Egyptian people, who are likely to topple the Mubarak autocratic regime, are extremely aware that President Mubarak’s reign was supported by the American government. In fact, Mubarak’s government received military aid of $1.5 billion annually from the United States.
Whether or not the U.S. is truly or even remotely to blame for the ills felt by the Egyptian people by the Mubarak government is completely irrelevant. What is relevant is whether the people who eventually depose Mubarak blame the U.S. and consequently form a post-Mubarak government that is inherently anti-American. We have seen this before when the Iranian people rose up and deposed the American backed Shah and established a heavily anti-American Islamist state. We see it now in Pakistan after the Pakistani people removed American backed Pervez Musharraf.
Instability in the Middle East can increase oil prices, destabilize the world economy, expand the threat of Iranian-style Islamist regimes, and perpetuate the War on Terrorism. Supporting repressive regimes sympathetic to the above American foreign policy interests will help the U.S. in the short term but undoubtedly hurt the U.S. in the long term. Alternatively, supporting democratic movements, while noble, may help the U.S. in the long term but undoubtedly hurt the U.S. in the short term. Should the United States formulate a foreign policy that is exclusively supportive of truly democratic governments and pro-democracy movements?
–TERRANCE MULLINS